Sunday, October 21, 2012

Israel Kirzner on Ethics and Entrepreneurship



Great article by Robert Wenzel on Israel Kirzner on Ethics and Entrepreneurship Israel Kirzner on

Ethics and Entrepreneurship In the clip below, Israel Kirzner provides one of the best expositions of his views on entrepreneurship, which are at odds with the views of some other Austrian economists. I tend to fall into the Kirznerian camp, in that what Kirzner describes as "alertness" to opportunities certainly exists and, I believe, is the key to what entrepreneurship is about. Kirzner's focus on alertness being the essence of entrepreneurship rather than entrepreneurship being mostly about risk taking, I believe, is a very important insight---Nobel Prize worthy . Pay attention to the very end of Kirzner's speech. During the Q & A, Kirzner makes it most clear when he states that he believes that it is an error that college professors emphasize risk as the key to entrepreneurship. Indeed, if you think of the major players that have created massive wealth for themselves, from Steve Jobs to Donald Trump to Carl Ichan to Sheldon Adelson to the Koch brothers and the Forbes family, it is hard to think of these people as people who simply roll the risk dice and see what comes up. They are very calculating men, who although they can make errors, generally act when they believe they are alert to an opportunity that others don't see---and the less risky that opportunity the more they are going to jump at it. I bring this discussion up now because in tomorrow's The Robert Wenzel Show, I start off with a discussion of entrepreneurship with Steve Forbes. In his new book he states that the key to a free market economy is John Maynard Keynes' view that it is about "animal spirits". Forbes, incorrectly, states: The motivation of individuals and companies to solve problems and meet needs ---what John Maynard Keynes called "animal spirits" --- is the heart of free enterprise. Keynes' comment was about throwing alertness and calculation to the winds ( a terrible thing) and, according to Keynes, the key being simply ignoring risk in manner similar to one were to decide to venture to the South Pole. Here's Keynes in his own words (my bold): Even apart from the instability due to speculation, there is the instability due to the characteristic of human nature that a large proportion of our positive activities depend on spontaneous optimism rather than on a mathematical expectation, whether moral or hedonistic or economic. Most, probably, of our decisions to do something positive, the full consequences of which will be drawn out over many days to come, can only be taken as a result of animal spirits—of a spontaneous urge to action rather than inaction, and not as the outcome of a weighted average of quantitative benefits multiplied by quantitative probabilities. Enterprise only pretends to itself to be mainly actuated by the statements in its own prospectus, however candid and sincere. Only a little more than an expedition to the South Pole, is it based on an exact calculation of benefits to come. Thus if the animal spirits are dimmed and the spontaneous optimism falters, leaving us to depend on nothing but a mathematical expectation, enterprise will fade and die;—though fears of loss may have a basis no more reasonable than hopes of profit had before. Thus, I present Kirzner's lecture below as a prelude to my discussion with Forbes, that will be posted tomorrow, and also for those who may want to understand from a scholarly perspective the nature of entrepreneurship. And, further, I post this for those who may desire to be entrepreneurs, so that they understand that entrepreneurship is not about blindly rolling the dice and hoping things come up right, but about looking for opportunities where profit is right in front of you.

I loved Robert's reply to Peter Klein on the difference between capitalist and entrepreneur.  He says:

Ah yes, when Mises seems to recognize a clear difference between entrepreneur and capitalist, he is thus "uncharacteristically muddled."  It looks pretty clear to me what Mises is saying, that the entrepreneur and capitalist are two different categories:
Let us try to think the imaginary construction of a pure entrepreneur to its ultimate logical consequences. This entrepreneur does not own any capital. The capital required for his entrepreneurial activities is lent to him by the capitalists in the form of money loans. The law, it is true, considers him the proprietor of the various means of production purchased by expanding the sums borrowed. Nevertheless he remains propertyless as the amount of his assets is balanced by his liabilities. If he succeeds, the net profit is his. If he fails, the loss must fall upon the capitalists who have lent him the funds.
Kirzner's books are here, and here is a bio.

Friday, October 12, 2012

Sa

http://www.transparencynow.com/news/sadism.htm

Friday, September 7, 2012

Dr. Lacy Hunt


Dr. Hunt explained that 45% of the businesses in China are owned by the government. Once government gross debt reaches 90%, bad things happen. An economy slows. China's government debt is 165% of GDP. The US's government debt is 100%. The expansion of debt in China put investment spending to 70% of GDP. Hunt points out eloquently, "Studies have shown that once gross government debt moves above 90%, bad things start to happen... that economic growth begins to slow, and materially so, and you can produce economic instability. In China's case, I think that the risk is quite great, because this big expansion in debt pushed investment spending to 70% of GDP. Consumer spending is only 30. In the United States, consumer spending is 70 and investment is 16. To have an investment spending to consumer spending of 70 to 30 is not sustainable." The private debt totals in China are about 16%; the US's. In the US, consumer spending is 70%; consumer savings is about 17%. The worry about inflation is that interests rates will rise with inflation. If the federal government has 16 trillion dollars in debt and they're financing that debt, higher interest rates on 16 trillion dollars makes paying that off impossible. Lacy does say that the only way out of the debt crisis is shared sacrifice with the Federal Reserve, meaning that they're going to have to stop printing money on projects like social programs and war. It will require austerity, he says, to get the US back on its financial feet. More than once Hunt pointed out how debt and lack of productivity hurt the demographics. People don't have families if the economic outlook is bleak. A replacement population cannot emerge. Fewer people are coming to the United States for work and currency advantages.

Interest rates are indicator of economic activity.

Here is the full text of this indispensable interview.  He references an article on China 2030 in the Wall Street Journal.  That is here.

Another great interview of Dr. Lacy Hunt one week before the one above.  I can't believe that I have not found this man earlier.  Enjoy the learning experience.


He makes a point that discriminating money pulls money out of the system first, sending signals to the rest of the population.  When the rest of the population begins to pull money out, that's what Kidleberger calls revulsion.  Charles Kindleberger is best known for his 1978 book Manias, Panics, and Crashes.  The savings rate during WWII was 25%?  I need to fact-check that.  

Saturday, August 18, 2012

Wednesday, August 15, 2012